Collusion finally has been confirmed! Except, it's not between President Trump (or any of his staff) and Russia. Instead, new evidence PROVES the vast majority of the Obama administration was colluding with America's intelligence community (FBI, CIA) to ILLEGALLY begin an investigation into General Michael Flynn. And the goal for that investigation had nothing to do with the truth but everything to do with prosecuting an American citizen who only had one guilty sin: working with Donald Trump. Thanks, Obama, for taking this great nation one GIANT step further away from constitutional democracy.
CHALKBOARDMay 14, 2020
CHALKBOARD: President Obama involved with ILLEGAL Trump, FBI investigation & Michael Flynn takedown
RADIO
November 08, 2024
3 reasons Glenn is "REALLY HOPEFUL" about Trump's second term
After winning the 2024 election, Donald Trump declared that he will usher in a "new golden era of America." Glenn explains 3 reasons why he is "really hopeful" about Trump's second term: With Elon Musk's help, "we actually have a chance of cutting our budget"; With a strong America, the whole West can escape the global elites' plans; and with JD Vance and his "American miracle" backstory, America can remember who we really are.
Transcript
Below is a rush transcript that may contain errors
GLENN: I will tell you, that I -- I find one of the most hopeful things, you know, when Donald Trump said, we're going to enter a new golden era of America, I believed him. He -- he could have said that in 2020, and I wouldn't have believed him, as much as I believe him now.
And that's because, we have -- we have a team of people, that are not just all politicians, cut exactly the same way, et cetera, et cetera.
And usually, you want people who are thinking like Donald Trump.
But in this particular case, to be able to bring in somebody like Elon Musk, that's one of the most hopeful things for our country, I've heard maybe in my lifetime.
Because I know that guy can cut. I know that guy will find the waste, in our government.
And he's not a government guy.
He's just a businessman. And he's going to look and go, we don't need any of those people.
Redundant. Redundant. Redundant.
Get rid of it.
We actually have a chance of cutting our budget. And being reasonable.
And I also that know Donald Trump is going to cut regulation.
I mean, he cut more regulation his first term than any other president. But they added so much regulation.
He will have to cut more of it now. And he will.
I mean, to get this economy roaring again, I think he's going to cut red tape like nobody's business.
And we could have a true rebirth of freedom, and the rebirth of the American dream. And I find that really hopeful.
I'm tired of thinking that my kids will be struggling. And they will be eating, you know, paper dolls, or whatever they have to eat.
Because even cannibalism. There's no more food left so they have to eat paper dolls.
I mean, I don't know what is coming. But I'm tired of thinking that.
I'm really hopeful today. I'm glad to hear Stu just chime on that, and go, yeah. I'm with you, Glenn.
STU: You know, Glenn, I am -- I am hopeful.
But I -- there's another full I am, which is spiteful. And I'm trying my best not to embrace that part of my inner -- inner workings today. But you're right.
I think it is -- look, there's a lot of good that could be done. We talked a little about what was unfortunately a missed opportunity maybe of 2022 last night. Where if things had gone a little bit better in 2022, we didn't even need a red wave, but just a little better of an election. You could be looking at a filibuster-proof majority, with Donald Trump going in. And that would have maybe been better.
Remember, we still have the House. We have to get over the hump.
I think that will be a real challenge over the next couple of weeks.
GLENN: And honestly, the Senate.
We've got to get. If Cornyn becomes the new McConnell, it's a nightmare. It's a nightmare.
STU: The work never ends.
GLENN: Cornyn cannot be the head of the Senate. He cannot become the new Majority Leader.
STU: And, you know, this will be an interesting one, and one of the first things Donald Trump is going to decide here.
As he has a very packed next couple of months, doing all of this transition, and getting all these people ready for these positions. He has a ton to do.
But this Senate leadership race will likely go to Cornyn or Thune, unless Donald Trump takes a strong stand and puts his thumb on the scale for someone like Rick Scott.
And I don't know -- I don't know what level of priority that is for him.
GLENN: I know. He really likes Rick Scott, doesn't he?
STU: I think so. So he may very well do it. I hope he's aggressive on that one. There's so much for him to do.
And look, it will be a real challenge for all these things he's wanted to do.
For all the -- the project 2025 things he was supposedly had planned.
GLENN: Thank goodness. Thank goodness, they -- they -- we lied enough to make sure that nobody knows that his whole plan is project 2025.
STU: Oh, do you remember when we said, it was just a think tank. White paper.
That the Heritage Foundation has produced every year since 1984.
Oh, that was a real scam on that one.
It works so well.
GLENN: Oh, man. They bought that lie.
STU: Think of all the things they tried, Glenn.
Just with Kamala. You had project 2025.
You had Trump is Hitler. You had actually we're joyful. You had J.D. Vance is weird. Like, all of these things. These are all just cataclysmic failures. None of them did anything.
They were all embarrassing failures.
GLENN: Yeah. Over the weekend, I heard the worst on J.D. Vance.
That he's going to inflict his mommy issues on all of us.
I'm like, what kind of monster are you?
I mean, the guy is like a miracle. I -- I tweeted last night, let me see if I have this. Because I just thought. You know, we really need to be grateful to the Lord.
For this miracle that we saw last night.
But also, you know, there's a lot of people that worked their butts off. Charlie Kirk, you know --
STU: Charlie is going to be swimming in money after this.
I can't even -- I can't even imagine.
GLENN: Oh, I know. I know.
STU: You want to talk about a person who has increased his profile. And is going to be very much rewarded. Is going to be Charlie.
GLENN: Yeah.
STU: Between Elon Musk and Charlie Kirk.
Really responsible for the turnout operation. Which seemingly outmaneuvered the entire democratic machine.
GLENN: Yes.
STU: In state after state.
GLENN: Yeah.
STU: Again, we will all look at this and say, at the end of the day, he will come out probably 312 electoral votes. It will not look like it's that close of an election. But truth of the matter is, all of these states are pretty close.
These are all -- he basically swept seven states with by pretty narrow margins.
And that is a -- I mean, turnout has to be a part of that story.
Pretty amazing.
GLENN: And that is Elon Musk and Charlie Kirk.
Let me go through the list that I put on.
And I would love to hear any editions from you.
Thank you, Charlie Kirk for everything you did to serve and save the republic.
Elon Musk, thank you for your vision and your courage to defend a man's right to be heard.
And to speak.
What that guy did is absolutely heroic. Heroic.
He knew he was going to be taken apart.
And even when they said, we're -- we're possibly going to deport you. When they were going down, they put him in jail, deport him. He still goes forward.
Amazing. RFK, for make America healthy again.
Tulsi Gabbard, for just her courage, and her honesty. And her willingness to be humble.
Joe Rogan for putting the stake in the heart of the mainstream media. That thing is dead now. That is dead.
And they're only going to make it worse. All they have to do is go, okay.
Wait a minute.
Can we take a week here, and just look at, what did we do?
What have we been doing, that's not working?
But they won't do it.
They're so deep in their own lies, that they'll never find their way out of it.
Because there's no humility there either.
I mean, if you're not humble. You will never fix it.
Which reminds me.
Let's make sure we are humble.
Make sure that we are humble. Or we will lose it again. We've been given a second chance. It's like America, you know, was on the table, and our heart stopped. And somehow or another, it just started beating again. Let's -- I don't know. Let's -- let's stay away from the fatty foods for a while. Maybe get some exercise. J.D. Vance.
Look at what J.D. Vance brought to the table. He showed us that even the most disadvantaged, can take charge of their own life. And create their own miracle. Their own American miracle.
He couldn't have happened in any other country, but America. And we had forgotten that that is who we really are.
That that can happen in this country.
STU: Can I -- can we go a little bit more on J.D. Vance for a second?
GLENN: Yeah.
STU: We're told VP picks don't really matter. And I think that's typically true. Normally, it isn't that big of a factor.
I think in this election, we will look back at it as a massive factor. Number one, J.D. Vance outperformed every vice presidential candidate I've ever seen in my entire life.
He was absolutely incredible. He took a total beating at the beginning. Everybody said he was terrible.
But he went on, and made serious arguments in unfriendly places. Over and over and over again.
And absolutely destroyed Tim Walz, in the one time, that they were debating each other directly.
And the same way, that it will be looked back. I think it's a really good pick for -- for J.D. Vance.
It will be the equivalent -- whatever the opposite side is, when it comes to Tim Walz. A truly horrible, horrible decision, that Kamala Harris admittedly made while she was sleep-deprived. She literally has admitted that.
It showed, he was terrible from the beginning. And, Glenn, you know, it's funny when you look at the polls cast. The -- the -- the correction after that first debate, when Donald Trump seemingly fell behind a little bit. That whole comeback comes almost to the day of that debate.
RADIO
November 07, 2024
Glenn Beck’s POWERFUL message to Democrats after Trump’s win
Donald Trump's 2024 victory has taken many on the left by shock. How could the majority of Americans support a fascist, racist, xenophobic felon who promised to be a dictator "on day one"? Well, maybe that's not what they support. Glenn reviews 2 New York Times op-eds that are perfect examples of what the legacy media has convinced half the country to believe about Trump and his supporters. Then, he explains what Trump supporters actually believe, and it couldn't be any more different.
Transcript
Below is a rush transcript that may contain errors
GLENN: So one of the op-eds in the New York Times today is Trump's America.
His comeback victory signals a different kind of country.
From the New York Times.
In her closing rally on the ellipse last week. Kamala Harris scorned Donald J. Trump as an outlier who didn't represent America.
That's not who we are, she declared.
In fact, it turns out, that may be exactly who we are. At least most of us. The assumption that Mr. Trump represented an anomaly, who would at last be consigned to the ash heap of history was washed away Tuesday night by a red current that swept through the battleground states. And swept away the understanding of America, long nurtured by its ruling elite of both parties.
No longer can the political establishment write off Mr. Trump as a temporary break from the long march of progress.
Populist disenchantment with the nation's direction and resentment against elites proved to be deeper and more profound than many in both parties had recognized.
While tens of millions of voters still cast their ballot against Mr. Trump, he once again tapped into a sense among many others, that the country they knew was slipping away, under siege economically, culturally and demographically.
To counter that, those voters ratified the return of a brash 78-year-old champion willing to upend convention and take radical action, even if it offends the sensibilities or violates old standards.
Any misgivings about their chosen leader was shoved to the side. As a result for the first time in history, Americans have elected a convicted criminal as president. They handed power back to a leader who tried to overturn a previous election, called for the termination of the Constitution, and aspired to be a dictator on day one, and vowed to exact retribution against his adversaries. To Mr. Trump's allies the election vindicates his argument that Washington has grown out of touch.
And America is a country weary from overseas wars. The Trump presidency speaks to the depth of marginalization felt by those who believe they have been the cultural wilderness for too long, and their faith in this one person who has given voice to their frustration and his ability to center them in American life.
Rather than be turned off by Trump's flagrant, anger-based appeal. Along the lines of race, gender, religion, national origin. Especially transgender ideology.
Many Americans found them bracing. Rather than be offended by his brazen lies or wild conspiracy theories, many found him authentic. Rather than dismiss him as a felon, found by various courts to be a fraudster, cheater, sexual abuser, and defamer, many embraced his assertion that he's been the victim of persecution.
This election, quoting, was a CAT scan on the American people. And as difficult as it is to say, as hard as it is to name.
What it revealed, at least in part, is a frightening affinity for borderless corruption.
That is from the former strategic adviser to president George W. Bush.
The fact that Trump was able to bounce back from so many legal and political defeats over the four years, anyone which would have been enough to wreck the career of any other politician was a testament to his remarkable resilience and defiance.
But it also was owed in part to the failures of President Biden and Ms. Harris. Then they go on for two paragraphs about, oh, boy.
They were bad.
But then they're right back into Donald Trump.
The coalition that elected them, wanted them to unite the country.
And they failed to do so. And their failure resulted in further disillusionment with our country's politics and empowered the Trump base.
Trump has been conditioning Americans throughout this campaign, to see American democracy, as a failed experiment. Said historian and author of Strong Man. Let me say that again. Trump has been conditioning Americans throughout this campaign, to see American democracy as a failed experiment.
No. I've never heard him say that. I've never heard anybody that supports him say that.
A victory for Trump would mean that this vision of America, and the recourse to violence as a means of solving political problems, has triumphed. She continued.
Talking to Mr. Short. Whoever Mr. Short is.
Predicted another four years of chaos and uncertainty.
I would anticipate a lot of volatility. Personnel, but also significant boomerangs on policy.
Not boomerangs from Biden/Harris. But boomerangs from himself. You'll have one position one day. And another position the next.
Okay. So they go on, and they really, truly do not understand what's happened.
Now, this is self-imposed ignorance.
Because it's really not that hard to figure out. And I do believe it comes from a misunderstanding of what our country is.
They're looking at our country, the way Woodrow Wilson defined it.
And that is, an administrative state. What is in the American soul is something entirely different.
GLENN: All right. So who are we?
What is it that we fight for? We see America more in the tradition of the Founding Fathers.
Now, I know if you're somebody on the left, if you're somebody, especially, you know, in the elite government. Or, you know, somebody who went to Harvard. You might roll your eyes at this.
Because you think this is all trite. But many Americans believe this. We believe that the American spirit is a force that inspires teams.
It also has fueled revolutions.
It's also driven some of the greatest innovations and achievements the world has ever seen.
We believe that. We believe in the American individual.
Now, you might say that you do. But I don't think you do. Because you want somebody to tell all of the individuals, exactly what they must believe, what they must live. What they must eat.
What they must drive. What they must teach their children.
We don't believe that. We don't believe that. And it's not just for us. It is for people who want to live a transgendered life.
I don't care if you want to live a transgendered life.
I feel to you for you.
I do. I feel for you. I feel your pain. The pain that you must have gone through, your whole life.
I don't want you to go through that pain. But don't force me and my family to lie about science because you feel bad.
You might feel horrible. I know I did as an alcoholic. As somebody who has -- who actually considered suicide, I know what feeling bad feels like.
But only the truth will set you free. I can't -- I can't further the lie. Because it only will hurt more people.
Now, the American spirit, this is what brought settlers across the oceans. Across rugged mountains, that nobody thought.
They risked life and limb, just to get away from the big European state. That told them, you'll never make it.
You can't do it. Your family is worthless. Insular have the right credentials.
They crossed oceans to get away from that. To put that into perspective, that is almost like going to the moon today.
These were people who were like, screw it, man!
This is the spirit that took on the tyrants and the empires. That declared that there were such thing as free men and free women.
And distant rulers and aristocrats. And those in the black robes.
They don't determine our destiny. We do!
And it's something that transcends race and religion or class.
You know why a lot of people -- a lot of people, that you say are racist, I know racism exists. But not the way you think it does!
You think we're all born racist. I -- I don't believe that!
You have to be taught how to hate. You have to be taught how to hate the other side.
Many of us believe, that is what you're teaching, with antiracism. Only racism you believe, can stop racism.
So I have to be taught to hate, to stop hate!
It doesn't make sense.
It doesn't make sense.
We're just looking for common sense. We're looking for science!
And reason. To be fixed firmly in her seat.
When we say, we believe that America is exceptional. Why do you think we say that?
Because we're arrogant?
Because we're white. Because what?
Because we believe in God! It's none of that.
What makes us exceptional is this American spirit. It's not chance. It's not entitlement.
It's through toil and courage and vision. Of ordinary people, doing extraordinary things.
That's what makes us exceptional! We are exceptional because the rest of the world has been told, shut up, and sit down!
You cannot do that. What makes us exceptional is that we say, who are you to tell me that?
You don't control my life. You don't control my vision.
You don't control my every movement.
I believe we can do extraordinary things.
That's why every -- why every American should embrace Elon Musk.
And every American did embrace, at least the spirit of Elon Musk, until politics were introduced. I wasn't against Elon Musk in his cars, and everything else. When he was, quote, on the other side. I don't think he's changed. He still believes all that stuff about global warming that I don't believe.
But I didn't wish him ill. I didn't want him deported. I didn't want him shut up. I didn't want to destroy his company.
I rooted for him to go to Mars. I still root for him to go to Mars. You know why? Because that's an ordinary person, who has an extraordinary vision, who can articulate that vision and execute it. I want man to win!
Our Founders knew, that governments left unchecked, would accumulate power, at the expense of the individual.
We have been on this road, that you and the New York Times may say, is traditional.
You may say, it's -- it's accepted, it's the way we are.
Well, but that is a perversion. We switched train tracks about 1916.
We developed this new idea. That man cannot rule himself.
This is actually an ancient idea. But it was new in America. Man cannot rule himself!
Man has to have an overseer. A government. Somebody in the government. Somebody preferably not elected.
Just a faceless bureaucrat. That could nudge people, the right way.
We don't want to be nudged. We're much more direct than that. You don't understand who Americans are. We are frank and blunt.
We're polite. We don't want to argue about politics. We don't want to argue about sex.
We don't want to argue about religion. We don't want to argue about any of that stuff.
So we're polite in polite company. Most of us were taught, you don't talk about those things. Why?
Because it deepens the division.
Just, you be you, boo. I'll be me. But we can't -- we can't have those conversations anymore.
And we need to. Because that's who we are. I'll fight for your right to be whoever it is you think you are.
Oh, you're a marshmallow. A unicorn, that turns into marshmallows at night. Okay. Hey, she's not a marshmallow. That's right.
She's not. But she has a right to believe that. She wants to say that. She has every right. Shut up. Sit down.
But you want me to say, no, she is a unicorn that turns into a marshmallow at night. No! No!
I'll fight for your right to say what you believe.
But I'm also going to fight for everybody else's right including mine, to say you're wrong.
This system of government that started with Woodrow Wilson is ancient. We call it progressivism now. But it was -- it was the tool of the tyrants, going all the way back, I'm sure to cavemen.
This government has become corrupt!
Corrupt. We should all be on the same side!
If Donald Trump was taking money from China, and he was enriching his children, because they were meeting with the Chinese, and then trying to influence him, I would want them to go to jail!
Because I don't want corruption! You don't take foreign money, on the down low!
I think we're being consistent.
But you don't because you fundamentally misunderstand.
You keep quoting the Constitution. But I don't think you understand the Constitution. This is a framework, that is designed to empower people, and restrict the government.
You interpret the Constitution, as something that empowers the government, and restricts the people.
Only one of us can be right. And if you actually read the document, you'll know which one is true!
That's what leads us back to American exceptionalism.
All right. More in a second.
I just -- I feel like, we need to explain, to the left. In a very clear way. In a very kind way.
I'm trying to be kind.
You have a fundamental misunderstanding of what we want. We don't want to control your life.
We have no desire to be in your bedroom. We have no desire, nor will we round groups of people up.
That's what progressives did, with FDR.
Not constitutional conservatives!
RADIO
November 06, 2024
"We witnessed a MIRACLE": What Trump's VICTORY means for America
Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election, and might even win the popular vote! So, is America back? And how should Trump supporters react? Glenn, Pat, and Stu discuss the incredible Election Night results: "We witnessed a miracle...this shouldn't have happened last night...God was gracious yesterday. He is not done with America." And Pat has to get in a bit of a gloatfest about Kamala Harris and Tim Walz' defeat.
Transcript
Below is a rush transcript that may contain errors
GLENN: So none of us had any sleep last night. And so you'll have to excuse us. It's a little -- we're a little delirious. And my apologies, and this is sincere. My apologies for not starting off the program with, thank you, Lord. Thank you to the almighty for giving us, not what we deserve, but giving us mercy. Which we do not deserve.
We witnessed a miracle, last night. With everything that was going against us, everything that -- I mean, this -- this shouldn't have happened last night.
I mean, I'm glad it did. But they have spent half a billion dollars just on abortion. Half a billion dollars, on the abortion message.
Yes. The -- the -- the direction of our country, is -- is completely in the wrong direction.
And enough people woke up, enough people saw that, and stood up, and -- and were willing to be called Nazis and everything else.
And they just didn't care. And I -- I think, that was a miracle.
And God was gracious, yesterday.
He is not -- he is not done with America, apparently. He's just not done. So thank you, Lord. Thank you.
PAT: I agree with that whole-heartedly. Whole-heartedly.
GLENN: Pat, hi. Thank you.
PAT: Welcome, good to be here. I also have just one other little message, if I may.
GLENN: Yeah. Yeah. Sure.
PAT: And it goes a little something like...
(music)
(laughter)
GLENN: Okay. All right.
PAT: Now, just that. It's another --
GLENN: See, that's wrong. That is just really, really wrong. Especially physical you did it -- if you did it again. Then --
STU: Don't do it again.
PAT: I shouldn't do this again.
(music)
GLENN: Oh, my.
(music)
(laughter)
GLENN: So, you know, what the problem is, that sounded a bit gloaty.
PAT: We don't want to do that. We want to be gracious winners.
STU: I can sense that towards the end.
PAT: Because if you did that a third time. It would probably be misconstrued.
(music)
(laughter)
GLENN: Wow! Wow.
STU: Beautiful --
PAT: Thank you. Thank you.
I've been working on it.
GLENN: I was going to say, that is a beautiful voice, that you have.
STU: Oh, you know what, Pat, if I may. If I may.
PAT: And you may.
STU: I love that Tim Walz gets a mention in that.
PAT: Oh, my gosh,, yes. Had to be.
STU: I love --
PAT: I don't ever want to see -- yeah. Let Minnesota deal with it. I don't want to.
STU: Good luck, Minnesota.
PAT: Oh, my gosh.
GLENN: Can I tell you something, it was almost a perfect night, when we thought for a second, they may lose Minnesota.
PAT: Yeah. Yeah.
GLENN: It was like, oh, my gosh.
STU: Yeah. They won Minnesota by four points.
PAT: Wow.
GLENN: Four!
STU: Four! That's it.
PAT: Wow.
STU: He almost got Minnesota. He almost got New Jersey too!
PAT: Are you projecting 312? That's what we've got, the countdown. Eventually, it will be 312 to 226. That's a big win.
STU: I think that's right. Yeah.
PAT: That's a big win. And he's up by, what? 5 million in the popular vote. Thank heavens.
STU: Now, that will shrink a lot. That will come down.
PAT: Do you think he's not going to win the popular vote? He's going to win it, right?
GLENN: Shut up, Stu! Shut up!
STU: Gosh. I mean -- I think so. I think so.
PAT: Please say it's so.
GLENN: Stu's about to call a Georgia. He's about to call Georgia.
STU: What are you talking about?
(laughter)
STU: I legitimately -- there are so far, Michigan, Arizona, and Nevada, along with Alaska, which some places still haven't called.
PAT: Well, that's ridiculous.
STU: But assuming he sweeps all four of those states, he gets to 312. I think there's a possibility that he could lose either one of them. But I do not expect it. I do not expect it.
PAT: Even CNN has it 276. So it's over. It's over.
STU: And the celebration. And the anchor. And Glenn's 14 seconds of calm, coherent thinking, all of that came behind, before we really gave a full update on this.
I mean, Georgia. If you look at the swing states. North Carolina, Donald Trump by three. Georgia, Donald Trump by two. Pennsylvania, Donald Trump by three. Michigan, Donald Trump by two. Wisconsin, Donald Trump by one. Arizona, 63 percent of the vote in, Donald Trump by five.
Nevada, 86 percent of the vote in, Donald Trump by four. So he would swing -- if he -- he would get all seven of the states.
PAT: Wow! Wow!
GLENN: So, Stu, you would say then, that the polls were actually pretty accurate.
STU: Yeah. I think they were pretty good. Now, everybody is going to remember one poll which is the Selzer poll in Iowa, which missed by about 60 million points.
PAT: What an embarrassment for her. What -- it was literally 17 and a half points, she missed by.
GLENN: Now, wait a minute. Wait a minute. Wait a minute.
She did what we were saying none of the others did. And that is, release the outliers. That were way, way, way out. That was part of polling, if you want to be honest.
Now, that's what Stu has just said. Pat, how would you respond to this?
STU: What do you think?
PAT: To the actual outcome of the election? You mean. Something like.
(music)
(laughter)
PAT: Maybe something like that.
GLENN: Something like that. That would be wrong, of course, if --
PAT: Of course. Of course. Especially -- you can't. You just can't.
GLENN: And you can still speak, which is crazy.
STU: Incredible.
GLENN: The -- the -- he's got like iron or US steel vocal cord.
PAT: Uh-huh.
GLENN: The -- the -- we haven't done a gloat fest, I think since maybe John Kerry?
PAT: I'll bet it's -- I mean, there's been no reason to. So...
Yeah.
STU: I think we did them in the Tea Party wave election of 2010, I believe. A gloat fest was mixed in there. 2014, maybe, which was a good year for Republicans. But that's probably been the last time.
GLENN: It's been a while. It's been a while. And gosh, it doesn't feel good. Does it? Not at all.
I'm sure, the calls haven't come in yet. But I'm expecting the calls to come in and say, hey, stop gloating. Stop rubbing it in their face. And you're right. You're right.
STU: So do you think the Democrats will take a smart lesson from this and realize, maybe they've overstepped their -- their -- maybe they outran their coverage a little -- their coverage a little bit, when they decided to say, hey, maybe all boys can play girl's sports.
PAT: Right. Right.
STU: And we should be, let's say, taking money from taxpayers and use it to fund transition of criminals in prison? Do you think maybe they'll learn the lesson there? Or do you think it's going to be --
PAT: And what if they thought, hey. I wonder if next time we should nominate someone who at least got one vote from Democrats.
STU: Lessons. Wow, that's a good one, Pat.
We should on write a little book for them, and they can learn some lessons. Like maybe run a campaign that wins votes.
PAT: Right. Right.
GLENN: I predict a -- a historic movement of reflection on the media's part today.
STU: Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah.
GLENN: That would be --
PAT: Really. Yeah.
GLENN: I mean, it's historic, because you get your butt kicked this badly. You destroy your credibility this much.
And I can guarantee you, there won't be any self-reflection at all.
STU: Oh, I think so.
I disagree with that. Actually, I think that stuff is true. There will be a reflection from the media. And they will decide, if only they had called him Hitler one more time. They would have won. If they could have just --
GLENN: Did we call him Hitler enough?
STU: Yeah. If they would have just said fascist, a few more times. Would have just left a few more on the field.
GLENN: I told you. I told you, we should have gone with Pol Pot.
No one is afraid of Hitler anymore.
STU: I mean, that is just.
GLENN: And Pennsylvania will be the killing fields!
STU: No. I think they needed maybe three more handmade's tale references.
If they just come up with a couple more of those.
If they just come up with the red robes, and the red hats. You more time.
This could have gone another way.
PAT: What if they brought up abortion another couple of times? What if they did that? January 6th. Maybe.
STU: Maybe they could have got another one of their donors to try to kill the president again!
Maybe that would be -- it happened twice!
GLENN: Eighth time is the charm.
(laughter)
STU: Unbelievable.
GLENN: It is -- it is unbelievable.
And, you know, I -- think, well, I know, we would have been on the air today, saying, okay.
So what do we do?
What did we do wrong? How are we not connecting? We would have been crying in our soup, you know. Assuming we could afford soup.
But we would have been really depressed today. But there would be self-reflection, and then we would be going, what did we do wrong? How is this message not getting heard? And what are we doing that is -- that is making people not come to this message?
PAT: Yeah.
GLENN: They're not going to spend any of that time. None of that.
STU: I think we would have just said, you know, it's because that other side are so hateful, and they don't understand. That's what they're saying. Everybody is a racist and a sexist.
PAT: And they'll break out Russian interference or something. I mean, they will make some kind of excuse for this.
GLENN: They already are, gang. They already are.
STU: I flipped on Morning Joe. President whole thing. All they're doing is coming up excuses, in realtime. And it's every single thing you would think it would be.
PAT: Wow.
STU: There's no reflection. No moment of sanity.
GLENN: Hang on, I just have to -- I just have to play cut one, please. Cut one. MSNBC.
VOICE: Kids watching for the first time election results. They should know that we never had bomb threats, before Donald Trump became a presidential candidate.
STU: What! The Weather Underground was blowing up stuff all over the place.
PAT: My gosh.
GLENN: They didn't threaten. They actually exploded the bombs.
STU: Right.
GLENN: That's the difference.
PAT: Wow!
GLENN: And another super, super favorite. This who couldn't even CNN.
Cut two.
VOICE: Donald Trump is not running for two years.
Kamala Harris has been running for 170. 170 days.
STU: Oh, yeah.
VOICE: So one of my questions is particularly with her candidacy is whether that was just enough time to introduce herself to the country.
STU: Introduce herself. She's the vice president.
PAT: My gosh. It's unreal. It's unreal.
STU: Unreal.
VOICE: Or whether she could have used a little more time.
STU: A couple more weeks.
GLENN: Hang on one last thing I want to play.
And that is, what's coming. They're on to us, guys.
They're on to us. They know, and here they are. Ratting us out.
What our plans are. Cut six.
VOICE: The historians in the future, are allowed to write books.
Boy, that question is open.
PAT: Yeah.
VOICE: And the people who are allowed to go on television, and say what they think, in the future.
Which again, that question is open this morning.
STU: No. It's not.
VOICE: In the future, historians will look back on this day and say, this is the day that America made the choice between freedom and democracy on one side, and authoritarianism and dictatorship.
GLENN: Yes. And we voted for freedom.
STU: Yep.
GLENN: And democracy. And the republic. So congratulations, America.
And, Pat, I don't want to hear that song anymore. Not a single note. No more.
STU: Which song?
PAT: I'm just reflecting on.
(music)
GLENN: All right. Okay. Okay. Stop it right now.
No more of that.
RADIO
November 05, 2024
The 5 most important things to WATCH FOR on Election Day 2024
The Daily Caller recently highlighted "5 key bellwethers to watch on Election Day" 2024: the early results in Pennsylvania, the margins in Virginia, how Muslims in Michigan vote, how suburban women vote, and how Trump does in Iowa. Glenn and Stu discuss just how close this election may be, despite the momentum for Trump. Plus, Glenn and Stu discuss the odds that this election will be a blowout and whether Stu's electoral map prediction will be as accurate as it was in 2020.
Transcript
Below is a rush transcript that may contain errors
GLENN: It is Election Day. If you haven't voted, if somebody in your family hasn't voted, get them out to vote.
As long as they're -- you know, they've done their homework. There's always a moron in there.
No. Don't. You know what, you don't -- you shouldn't vote.
Now, there's -- according to the Daily Caller, five key bellwethers to watch on Election Day. I want to go over them with Stu.
Because Stu is the guy who watches all these numbers.
And yesterday, you predicted a Trump victory.
STU: Yeah. Very hesitant Trump victory.
I'm very undecided.
GLENN: You didn't do that in 2020.
STU: No. In fact, 2020 got the electoral count exactly right. 306 electoral votes for Joe Biden. And everyone hates you, when you say that.
GLENN: I know. I know.
STU: But, you know, I -- that's what I thought was going to happen.
It wound up coming true. But this time, I'm not nearly as sure. I don't have a really strong opinion. I got to the -- we did our show last night on Stu Does America. Our final predictions.
And it got to those swing states. And, you know, a couple of them I have a vibe on.
You know, a couple of them, I'm kind of just guessing. I hate to say it that way. But it's kind of where you are.
You're taking your vibes. You're kind of encapsulating 18 months of campaigning into a feeling. And I think a lot of people will do that today. I would not bet money on who will win.
She can win this election. But, also, there's a good chance that one of these two candidates, you know, sweeps all seven of these swing states, and winds up with what feels like an easy victory.
It won't be. You know, I don't think it will be an easy victory.
If you start seeing someone taking out states, those fringe swing states. You know, New Hampshire, Virginia for Trump.
You know, going the other way.
Texas for Kamala. Florida, for Kamala. Iowa for Kamala. If that stuff starts happening. That's a blowout.
These type of swing states. If they all go to one of the two candidates. I don't think it will be much of a blowout.
I am very, very undecided on it.
My final count was 291 electoral votes for Trump.
As I was putting it together, as a final prediction for the show. I reversed myself on two or three states, multiple times.
And that is not -- when you're doing that. You know.
I've been watching this obsessively for 18 months.
And on -- an hour before I go to the air, I am reversing states nap tells you that we don't know. Because I don't know.
GLENN: So here are the things.
And I would like to hear your point of view on this.
Are these the things you should watch for: Early returns for Pennsylvania. It is probably one of the most important states, likely a tipping point. You lose this one.
I mean, you could gain --
STU: You could do it. But it's hard. Especially for Trump.
Kamala needs it, you would think.
If Trump can get it, he's probably winning this election.
GLENN: Right. This is why Kamala was out knocking doors last night. Quote, unquote.
Knocking doors. Somebody else was knocking the door. Kamala supporter.
STU: Oh, the part where, hey, Kamala. Kamala goes -- they won't to film you coming out. We go back in, and I can knock on the door again?
The fact that that sort of stuff is happening. What a perfect last-minute encapsulation of the Kamala Harris campaign.
GLENN: Yeah. Just fake. All of it fake. So Pennsylvania.
80,000 votes in Pennsylvania, decided 2020. 90,000 Amish in Pennsylvania. Also, 80,000 truckers in Pennsylvania, that didn't really turn out last time because a lot of them were on the road.
The G.O.P. has been all over that. Make sure they have -- you know, ballots, mail-in ballots.
Also, just this weekend on the other side, the Harris campaign knocked on almost a million doors.
$807,000 doors were knocked.
In 2020, in Pennsylvania, Democrats had the advantage of more than 1.1 million mail-in ballots.
They knew, a couple of weeks before, we are going to win.
Today, the Democrats only have an advantage of 400,000. That's a 700,000-vote swing. That they're down -- and that is good, if people show up today, to vote.
Virginia is also another one. Harris is probably another one that will win Virginia.
If Donald Trump picks up Virginia, that's a big deal. If he loses Virginia, under five points, that's also a big deal.
STU: Yeah. If he can keep it within five points, I think he's probably going to win the election.
GLENN: Yeah. Yeah. And we should bank that pretty early, shouldn't we?
STU: Yeah. Polls close relatively early. It's not one of those states that takes a month to count. Typically.
Again, Florida is the gold standard, which is shocking. They actually fixed their system. Theater ones that will give you the first result.
Florida is also not the best bellwether. We've seen this before. In 2022, was a big situation, if you remember correctly.
Because DeSantis won by so much. That everyone was like, oh, my gosh.
This is a Republican wave election. Because they were one of the first results.
And it did not wind up panning out in other states. Sometimes Florida is a little bit different. And since they're the first kind of like big state, we hear about --
GLENN: Yeah.
If it goes poorly, Florida, for Donald Trump, it will be a bad night.
STU: Well, the polling is interesting there, Glenn.
GLENN: I know.
STU: Because we kind of thought now, that because of what DeSantis has done in Florida, that this is just a bright red state.
Look, Rick Scott is up by three points in Florida in a lot of these polls.
Donald Trump is up by four or five points in some polls in Florida.
I think he is going to win. But it will be a heck of a lot closer than DeSantis when he won by, what was it? Nineteen.
GLENN: Yeah. I have to tell you, the other thing that is disturbing.
The Cruz campaign called us to get him on the air today.
They are concerned about Texas. And you should be concerned about Texas.
It is close. It is very close.
They have spent millions and millions and millions of dollars. And Ted Cruz has done it all on his supporters and himself.
The -- they've been outspent like crazy, because of Mitch McConnell.
STU: Yeah. And George Soros.
GLENN: And George Soros. Yes.
STU: McConnell not giving money to Cruz is a factor.
But Democrats are targeting this with hundreds of millions of dollars.
GLENN: So another thing to watch for is the Muslims in Michigan.
If they don't show up. Or they're voting third person. Or they're not voting for Trump, which I find that hard to believe. But you had the mayor of the biggest Muslim community in Michigan come out and endorse. Along with a lot of the imams, endorse Donald Trump. I find it hard to believe.
STU: Yeah. If Trump will be like, hey, we will win this election.
If we get the Muslim vote, I think he's -- you know, probably -- that's not the position you want to be in.
GLENN: No. But --
STU: He'll take them. He'll take 10 percent. Take it.
STU: Yeah. For sure. For sure.
GLENN: The pitch to suburban women.
Now, this goes down to Iowa.
I think if he loses Iowa, it's -- it's going -- it could be a rough night.
He's not counted out.
STU: He's not mathematically eliminated.
But if he loses Iowa, there's no way he's winning this election.
GLENN: You don't think so?
STU: I don't think so. That doesn't mean mathematically he can't win. He definitely theoretically could win. In an environment where they lose the state, again, this makes no sense to me.
Kim Reynolds won that state by 19 points, two years ago, in a bad year for Republicans. We've seen increases all over the place, in Republican registration.
That's not -- I'm -- as I mentioned to you off the air. I'm super skeptical of trying to take anything out of early vote.
Particularly this year. When you're comparing early vote to the COVID year, God only knows what you're getting.
I'm not surprised at all, that Democrat's early vote numbers were down. They were all terrified. They wouldn't go outdoors at the time that this election was taking place.
GLENN: I know. But you are -- people are motivated, or not.
STU: I agree.
GLENN: And I don't think -- I think where the hidden number is, in these polls, is the lack of motivation for Harris.
People will talk a good game.
I'm for Harris.
STU: And some even show her enthusiasm higher than Trump's, which doesn't make any sense to me.
GLENN: No way.
STU: That's even shown in some polls.
GLENN: No way. No way.
STU: Look, we all that know it's not Kamala enthusiasm.
The correct way to look at it is anti-Trump enthusiasm.
That sort of does connect with me.
I do sort of see Democrats feel that way.
Not that I do. But I'm saying, as far as they do.
We know they hate him.
We got it. They're really wanting to keep Hitler out of office. We've got it.
GLENN: They're hypnotized.
STU: When comes to early voting, though. The numbers coming up for Republicans.
I think it can be partially explained by the fact that Trump discouraged the early vote in 2020, and now he's encouraging it. So I'm not surprised to see those numbers come up.
And I'm not surprised to see them come down for Democrats. Because in 2020, there was COVID. And they were all afraid to go to restaurants, let alone, go out to vote.
So I'm not at all surprised by that. I'm not saying that that means bad things.
Obviously, I predicted Trump to win.
PAT: But here's what the Republicans are counting on.
STU: Uh-huh.
GLENN: In the polls for people who are planning on voting today, he is up by 16 points.
If that would hold, it -- it would be hard for the Democrats to pull this off.
You disagree with that?
STU: You may be right. Just, I don't have a spreadsheet out to make a prediction out like that.
I have not -- I don't know.
It's possible, you're right.
I don't know. There's so many factors that go into this. And the other part of it, that we don't know at all.
From early voting.
One important thing. We have no idea, who any independents voted for.
We have no idea who anyone voted for.
But we assume the Republicans vote for the Republicans and Democrats vote for Democrats.
Independents, we have no indication, whatsoever.
Right? We have no indication from early vote what independents did. So in an election that is this close, kind of an important nugget of information.
GLENN: I know. I know.
You're basing it all on numbers, facts, and figures. I'm basing it all on gut.
And we've lost the ability to predict the American people, long ago!
But, you know, I'll explain it at the top of next hour. Why I feel as strong as I do.
With the one caveat. I don't know if I can predict the American people anymore.
I don't know.
I mean, our education system has turned out morons and idiots. That don't even know what it means, to be a republic, versus a democracy.
So nobody knows our institutions.
Nobody knows why this was founded this way.
So maybe they don't get it.